Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Exeter City |
35.4% ( -0.02) | 26.82% ( -0.01) | 37.78% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.33% ( 0.05) | 53.66% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( 0.04) | 75.16% ( -0.04) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% ( 0.01) | 28.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.14% ( 0.01) | 64.86% ( -0.01) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.44% ( 0.04) | 27.55% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.93% ( 0.06) | 63.07% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.77% |
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