Both sides are finding wins hard to come by, and with just two points separating them in the league table, we think that a close-fought contest will result in the spoils being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
