Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barnsley in this match.
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