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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
LC

Fleetwood
2 - 1
Lincoln

Jackson (16' og.), Stockley (73')
Ndaba (58'), Earl (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Poole (45+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Lincoln City

There is not an awful lot between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting a close match on Saturday afternoon. Fleetwood have struggled for home wins this season, while Lincoln have only won five games on their travels, so the spoils could be shared in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawLincoln City
35.26%27.31%37.43%
Both teams to score 49.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37%55.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21%76.79%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97%30.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.85%66.15%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48%64.52%
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 35.25%
    Lincoln City 37.43%
    Draw 27.31%
Fleetwood TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 35.25%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.62%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.72%
1-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 0-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Fleetwood
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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