Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.55%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Northampton Town
31.98%	29.83%	38.18%

Both teams to score 42.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.18%

64.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.24%

83.76%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92%

37.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14%

73.86%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15%

32.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58%

69.42%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 31.98%

Northampton Town 38.18%

Draw 29.82%

Carlisle United	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.81% Total : 31.98%	1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 12.17% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.82%	0-1 @ 13.55% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.18%