Peterborough have been very good at home this season and should be comfortable once again against Accrington.
It will not be as bad as last time for Stanley, but they are low on confidence at the minute and will struggle to break down the Posh.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
0.35) 
-0.17) 
