Forest Green Rovers have started their season poorly, and anything short of three points here would be less than ideal. We are tipping the home side to scrape a hard-fought victory at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
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