Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
