We said: Sunderland 1-1 MK Dons
It really is now or never for Sunderland, with defeat against MK Dons at home on Saturday a non-negotiable if they wish to earn promotion.
MK Dons will pose a huge threat of their own given their promotion ambitions, and should be confident of leaving the North-East with points in hand.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
