With Sunderland unbeaten in their last four matches, we think that the hosts will make light work of a Crewe side, who are bereft of confidence after losing nine of their previous 10 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 8.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
76.12%	15.1%	8.78%

Both teams to score 48.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.24%

36.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.06%

58.94%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.96%

8.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.7%

28.3%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.22%

47.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.93%

83.07%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 76.11%

Crewe Alexandra 8.78%

Draw 15.1%

Sunderland	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 12.2% 3-0 @ 10.26% 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 7.58% 4-0 @ 6.47% 4-1 @ 4.78% 5-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.8% 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.76% 6-0 @ 1.37% 6-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.52% Total : 76.11%	1-1 @ 7.15% 0-0 @ 3.84% 2-2 @ 3.33% Other @ 0.78% Total : 15.1%	0-1 @ 2.84% 1-2 @ 2.64% 0-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.26% Total : 8.78%