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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
LC

Barrow
2 - 2
Lincoln

Lincoln win 3-1 on penalties
Moyo (13'), Whitfield (87')
Gordon (89')
FT
(aet)
Scully (8'), Garrick (90+2')
Eyoma (15'), Sorensen (18')

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Barrow 1-2 Lincoln City

There is very little separating the sides heading into this one and the game could easily swing either way. We expect an open and end-to-end affair with Lincoln City just about edging out Barrow in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%).

Result
BarrowDrawLincoln City
42.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 26.79% (0.029 0.03) 30.32% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31% (-0.132 -0.13)54.69% (0.13 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (-0.109 -0.11)76.01% (0.107 0.11)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)25.26% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)60.01% (0.061 0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)32.89% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (-0.121 -0.12)69.46% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 42.89%
    Lincoln City 30.32%
    Draw 26.79%
BarrowDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Walsall
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Barrow (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Bradford
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Barrow
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 4-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Doncaster 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One


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