Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
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