SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Crawley Town |
52.69% ( -0.57) | 25.66% ( 0.15) | 21.64% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 46.24% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.81% ( -0.15) | 56.18% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% ( -0.12) | 77.24% ( 0.11) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( -0.3) | 21.37% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.64% ( -0.46) | 54.35% ( 0.45) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( 0.34) | 41.18% ( -0.35) |
