Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-2.36) 
2.51) 
