SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Carlisle United |
33.32% ( -2.36) | 26.64% ( -0.15) | 40.03% ( 2.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.67% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( 0.31) | 53.25% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( 0.26) | 74.8% ( -0.26) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( -1.34) | 30.08% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( -1.64) | 66.21% ( 1.64) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( 1.55) | 26.1% ( -1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( 2.03) | 61.16% ( -2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.51)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.32% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.02% |
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