With Grimsby winless in the league so far at home and Carlisle winless away from home, a draw seems the most probable outcome of this game. As both defensive units are strong, a low-scoring game is expected too.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
-4.25) 
0.31) 
