Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.