Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.