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League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
CU

Sutton
1 - 1
Carlisle

Kouassi (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kizzi (85' og.)
Robinson (46')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Carlisle United

Carlisle only need a point on Monday, but we expect them to take all three, given that they looked very solid in their last away trip against Barrow. Not only that, but Sutton have been very poor in recent weeks, typified by a shock defeat against bottom-of-the-table Rochdale, which indicates they have very little chance against a side of the Cumbrians' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
28.82% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 29.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.81% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)63.62% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.08% (-0.044 -0.04)82.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)38.86% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)75.59% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 28.82%
    Carlisle United 41.96%
    Draw 29.2%
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.2%
0-1 @ 14.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 41.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Northampton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Sutton
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Stockport
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Stockport
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Carlisle
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Tranmere
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two


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