Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
-1.02) 
0.87) 
