Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Sutton United |
43.86% ( 0.16) | 27.41% ( -0.07) | 28.73% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.55% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.36% ( 0.2) | 57.64% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.59% ( 0.16) | 78.4% ( -0.16) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( 0.17) | 26.1% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.84% ( 0.23) | 61.16% ( -0.23) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% ( 0.04) | 35.65% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.57% ( 0.04) | 72.42% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.86% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.73% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: