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CU
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
Brunton Park
SU
Sutton United

Carlisle
1 - 1
Sutton

Edmondson (30')
Guy (45+3'), Whelan (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randall (45')
Eastmond (71'), Hart (90+3'), Kizzi (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 2-1 Sutton United

Despite Carlisle heading into this fixture 10 points clear of their opponents, we expect a closely-fought affair in Cumbria on Saturday. However, Simpson is building something special during his second spell there, and his side should just edge past Sutton. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSutton United
43.86% (0.156 0.16) 27.41% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 28.73% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.55% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.36% (0.20200000000001 0.2)57.64% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.59% (0.16 0.16)78.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.173 0.17)26.1% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (0.232 0.23)61.16% (-0.231 -0.23)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)35.65% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)72.42% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 43.86%
    Sutton United 28.73%
    Draw 27.41%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.86%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 28.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Salford City 1-4 Carlisle
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-3 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Bradford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stockport 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Sutton
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two


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