Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.09) 
