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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Chesterfield |
33.28% ( -0.58) | 24.02% ( 0.09) | 42.69% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 60.57% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( -0.57) | 41.71% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( -0.58) | 64.11% ( 0.59) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.6) | 24.51% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( -0.86) | 58.97% ( 0.86) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( -0.01) | 19.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( -0.02) | 51.81% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 42.69% |
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