Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
