Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
