A draw is no good for Swindon as they chase a playoff spot, but they will be the underdogs against the current league leaders. Forest Green are still bidding to finish first, meanwhile, and we are expecting the two teams to play out a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
29.91%	25.5%	44.59%

Both teams to score 53.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.35%

49.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33%

71.67%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.41%

30.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17%

66.82%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77%

22.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34%

55.66%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 29.91%

Forest Green Rovers 44.58%

Draw 25.5%

Swindon Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 8.06% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.91%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.58%