Neither side is bursting with confidence in the final third, so a low-scoring encounter is on the cards. In fact, a single goal could decide the outcome, with Tranmere responding positively to their former manager's removal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.02) 
