Stevenage are the more likely side to dominate large proportions of this match and will attempt to dictate play inside their opponents' half.
We believe that this game will be littered with goals due to both sides' recent record of goals conceded, but Stevenage will score more than their opponents due to being the superior attacking side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
4.63) 
-1.84) 
