Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.
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