Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.13) 
