Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
38.23% ( -0.02) | 25.24% ( -0) | 36.53% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.88% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.22% ( 0.01) | 46.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.96% ( 0) | 69.04% ( -0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( -0.01) | 24.12% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% ( -0.01) | 58.42% ( 0.01) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% ( 0.02) | 59.71% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.53% |
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