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League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
TR

Crewe
2 - 0
Tranmere

Demetriou (11'), Long (52')
Davies (37'), Tracey (77'), Powell (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hendry (90+5'), Davies (90+6')
McGee (48'), Davies (90+12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Tranmere Rovers

Tranmere Rovers are yet to pick up a single point away from home in League Two, and they have failed to beat Crewe away from home in the league since October 1999. As such, we expect the hosts to pick up a relatively comfortable victory this weekend, keeping them in the hunt for the automatic promotion places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
38.23% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.88% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)46.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.04% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.12% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.42% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.012999999999991 0.01)25.04% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (0.016999999999996 0.02)59.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 38.23%
    Tranmere Rovers 36.53%
    Draw 25.24%
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.23%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 4-2 Crewe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 3-3 Crewe
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Crewe
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Tranmere
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Tranmere
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two


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