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League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
SC

Newport
3 - 1
Salford City

Hudlin (10'), Wildig (26'), Spellman (67')
Spellman (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Stockton (81')
McAleny (9'), Tilt (57'), N'Mai (60'), Woodburn (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Salford City
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSalford City
30.95% (1.602 1.6) 25.21% (0.153 0.15) 43.83% (-1.757 -1.76)
Both teams to score 55.46% (0.366 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (0.085000000000001 0.09)47.96% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (0.077999999999999 0.08)70.14% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98% (1.15 1.15)29.02% (-1.151 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08% (1.4 1.4)64.92% (-1.401 -1.4)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)21.87% (0.76 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-1.169 -1.17)55.11% (1.167 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 30.95%
    Salford City 43.83%
    Draw 25.21%
Newport CountyDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 7.85% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.271 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.86% (0.284 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 2% (0.177 0.18)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.95%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.33% (-0.372 -0.37)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Newport
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-0 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, September 17 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 4-0 Newport
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-4 Port Vale
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Salford City
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 MK Dons
Monday, September 2 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Salford City
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two


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