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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
30.95% ( 1.6) | 25.21% ( 0.15) | 43.83% ( -1.76) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( 0.09) | 47.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( 0.08) | 70.14% ( -0.08) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( 1.15) | 29.02% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( 1.4) | 64.92% ( -1.4) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.76) | 21.87% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( -1.17) | 55.11% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.95% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.83% |
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