With their confidence growing each week, we back Newport to stretch their winning run to four league games on Friday. The Exiles will know they need to keep positing victories to remain in the top three, and, against a Hartlepool side in a slight dip, Rowberry's side are likely to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Hartlepool United
58.92%	22.9%	18.18%

Both teams to score 48.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18%

49.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.18%

71.82%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42%

16.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.62%

46.37%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71%

41.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18%

77.81%

Score Analysis

Newport County 58.92%

Hartlepool United 18.18%

Draw 22.89%

Newport County	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 5.86% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 58.92%	1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 6.06% 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.18%