Given the form of Gillingham, their league placing currently matters little, and they will have full belief that they can secure three points on Saturday. However, with Swindon in solid form themselves, we feel a draw is the most likely outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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