SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Doncaster Rovers | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Bradford City | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sutton United | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Carlisle United | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Walsall | 7 | 2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
55.37% ( 0.1) | 22.7% ( -0.05) | 21.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( 0.16) | 44.04% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( 0.16) | 66.42% ( -0.16) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( 0.09) | 15.77% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.1% ( 0.17) | 44.9% ( -0.17) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( 0.04) | 34.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( 0.05) | 70.74% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.37% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 21.92% |
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