Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.05) 
