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FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
GT

Southampton
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

FT(HT: 0-1)
Holohan (45+1' pen., 50' pen.)
Hunt (32')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Southampton 2-0 Grimsby Town

With Southampton likely to make alterations, Grimsby will be optimistic about taking full advantage. However, for all their struggles, the Saints still possess a talented squad, and they should have enough quality to make relatively light work of their next opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawGrimsby Town
47.13% (-3.647 -3.65) 24.21% (0.788 0.79) 28.66% (2.857 2.86)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-1.446 -1.45)44.72% (1.442 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-1.408 -1.41)67.08% (1.407 1.41)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-1.976 -1.98)19.1% (1.974 1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (-3.376 -3.38)50.72% (3.373 3.37)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (1.368 1.37)28.96% (-1.369 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (1.664 1.66)64.85% (-1.667 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 47.13%
    Grimsby Town 28.66%
    Draw 24.2%
SouthamptonDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.255 -0.25)
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.574 -0.57)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.358 -0.36)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.367 -0.37)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.065 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.337 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.508 0.51)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.658 0.66)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.55 0.55)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.311 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Wolves
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Southampton
Tuesday, January 31 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 18 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Luton
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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