SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Grimsby Town |
47.13% ( -3.65) | 24.21% ( 0.79) | 28.66% ( 2.86) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( -1.45) | 44.72% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( -1.41) | 67.08% ( 1.41) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( -1.98) | 19.1% ( 1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.28% ( -3.38) | 50.72% ( 3.37) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 1.37) | 28.96% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.15% ( 1.66) | 64.85% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.51)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.36)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.37)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.51) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.66)0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.55)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.66% |
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