Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
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