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Thursday, March 28
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League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
HT

Hartlepool
3 - 3
Harrogate

Umerah (45'), Sylla (46'), Shelton (63')
Umerah (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pattison (4'), Folarin (49'), Thomson (73')
Ramsay (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Harrogate
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 0-0 Harrogate Town

This might not be a classic, with both managers likely to be wary of losing rather than actively going in search of all the points. Hartlepool have been poor at home this season, but Harrogate have also struggled away, so we have had to settle on a goalless draw on New Year's Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
36.61% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.71%36.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.73% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36%63.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.58%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 36.61%
    Harrogate Town 36.67%
    Draw 26.7%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.82%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 6.36%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-2 Mansfield
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Hartlepool
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-5 Stockport
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Harrogate
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-4 Harrogate
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two


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