In their last encounter in League Two, the two sides played out a thrilling 3-3 draw, however, we fancy the home side to take all three points here.
Harrogate Town are without an away win for the past seven league games coming into this one, while the Dale have only conceded three goals in their past three matches on their own turf.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
-0.36) 
0.22) 
