Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
