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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
LO

Crewe
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Sambou (90+2')
Thomas (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ogie (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Leeds U21s (2-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Leyton Orient

It is hard to imagine a side who struggle so much in the final third, like Crewe, find a way past a defensive unit as well-organised and compact as Leyton have been in 2022-23. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeyton Orient
23.27% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 23.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 53.2% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.14% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)68.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.028999999999996 0.03)34% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (0.032 0.03)70.67% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)17.29% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)47.64% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 23.27%
    Leyton Orient 53.2%
    Draw 23.53%
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 23.27%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 53.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Leeds U21s (2-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barrow 3-0 Crewe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Crewe
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-1 Tranmere
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Crewe
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-3 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 8.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two


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