Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
3.4) 
-0.53) 
