Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.15) 
