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League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
AW

Newport
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Greaves (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelly (49'), Sawyers (77')
Harbottle (41'), Tilley (53'), Kelly (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Newport
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

Wimbledon will be targeting all three points to aid in their promotion push, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils, especially as four of their previous five meetings between the two sides have finished all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw has a probability of 23.9% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Newport County win it is 1-0 (6.58%).

Result
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
23.77% (-0.363 -0.36) 23.86% (0.163 0.16) 52.37% (0.202 0.2)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-1.054 -1.05)47.04% (1.056 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.99 -0.99)69.29% (0.99199999999999 0.99)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.89099999999999 -0.89)34.04% (0.89299999999999 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.972 -0.97)70.72% (0.974 0.97)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)17.94% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-0.549 -0.55)48.76% (0.55 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 23.77%
    AFC Wimbledon 52.37%
    Draw 23.85%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 6.58% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.77%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.266 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.01% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Newport
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 5-2 Newport
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 6-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Newport
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Newport
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Newport
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Gillingham
Monday, December 30 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Swindon
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Doncaster
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Harrogate 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two


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