SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Newport County win it was 2-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
21.81% ( 0.07) | 22.55% ( -0) | 55.64% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.49% ( 0.09) | 43.51% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.1% ( 0.09) | 65.9% ( -0.09) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( 0.12) | 33.86% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( 0.13) | 70.53% ( -0.13) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( 0.01) | 15.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.61% ( 0.01) | 44.39% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.81% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.14% 0-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 55.64% |
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