Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.
0.01) 
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