Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
