Neither side are in fantastic form coming into the match, but with Notts County often struggling at home this season, while Crewe are the sixth-best performing side in the league on the road, we expect an away victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
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