SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
63.73% ( 0.04) | 18.25% ( -0.04) | 18.01% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 65.14% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.39% ( 0.18) | 28.61% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.5% ( 0.23) | 49.49% ( -0.22) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.35% ( 0.06) | 8.65% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.18% ( 0.15) | 29.82% ( -0.15) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( 0.11) | 28.69% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( 0.14) | 64.52% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 63.73% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 18.25% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 18.01% |
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