Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.
0.01) 
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