Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
